Before a joint press conference, US President Donald Trump shakes hands with the Russian President Vladimir Putin after her meeting in the common basis of Elmendorf-Richardson in Anchorage, Alaska, USA, August 15, 2025.
Gavriil Grigorov | About Reuters
US President Donald Trump has repeatedly said that he would punish Russia and President Vladimir Putin if Moscow does not get to the table and agrees with peace and ceasefire with Ukraine.
Russia has also shown no signs that it also intends to continue and increase its attacks on Ukraine to consolidate the profits on the battlefield.
And yet Trump is able to publish a large Basooka of additional sanctions and economic punishments that could violate an already weakened Russia.
The reason for the standstill is strategic and, according to analysts, extends that the longer Trump walks down, the more he undermines his position and the position of the USA.
“The Russian budget is actually under strong pressure … If there are even more important sanctions against the Russian oil trade in the United States-about which they spoke-which did not do-that would put the budget under greater pressure. It did not happen,” said Chris Weafer, the managing director of Moscow, Monday.
There were two important factors for Trump’s reluctance, said Weafer: the president’s wish to be seen as a promotion of peace, and concern about the deeper increase of Russia in China’s orbit.
“Trump still believes that he can bring both sides to the table, that he can convey a peace agreement and that he can move the conflict towards peace. And when you consider that the announcement to the Nobel Peace Prize is a factor at the beginning of October because we know the character of the individual,” he told CNBC “Squawk Box Europe Europe”.
“The second reason … is the feeling when Russia is defeated when Russia is completely isolated from the West and there is no way to deal with the USA and Europe, it has no choice but to go on with China, and that might strengthen China’s position.”
Bringing together Russia and Beijing would mean that the latter had “almost unlimited” the “almost unlimited” access to energy resources, industrial materials and the Arctic, the analyst said and found that the USA could effectively block this from Russian -controlled parts of the Arctic.
China would also enable greater access to Russian military technology such as Stealth -U boats and other options for researching space.
Officials in Washington were concerned about it, said Weafer and added: “You don’t want Russia to be essentially a formal subsidiary of China. You want it to be more in the middle. I think that is one reason why you are careful for the time being.”
CNBC contacted the White House to get further comments on his strategy towards Moscow and is waiting for an answer.
Ukraine has meanwhile seen how Trump himself behaved against Russia. Kyiv was left behind on the perceived missed opportunities to extend Putin to an armistice.
“The Ukrainians had hoped that Trump’s deadline for Putin on August 8 to accept a ceasefire would provide constant air defense,” said John Herbst, a former US ambassador to Ukraine and head of the Eurasien Center of the Atlantic Council, in an analysis in August.
However, they were disappointed when Trump Putin had his deadline crossed on August 8 to end the fights without consequences. “Instead, Trump focused on Summitry with Putin, which has not yet achieved Russian flexibility,” wrote autumn.
“Now they divide the teeth and with many of their European partners who are waiting to see that officials from the White House recognize that Russia is playing – and the strong measures that Trump promised when Russia continued his war against Ukraine,” he added.
China-Russia-India bonds deepen
The leaders of Beijing and Moscow showed the 25th Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit Bonhomie on Monday. The SCO is visited by 20 foreign leaders, including Putin and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi.
Against the background of the war in Ukraine, Trump’s tariffs and persistent oil trade, the most important economies of China, Russia and India have deepened their economic and political bonds, while their respective relationships with the west are asked.
The Chinese President Xi Jinping asked on Monday that his co -guides took part in the summit to strengthen their cooperation and asked them to reject what he described as the “mentality of the Cold War”.
In the meantime, Putin informed the SCO that his meeting with Trump opened a way to solve the Ukrainian “crisis” in August because he described the more than three -year war. Nevertheless, he thanked the Asian allies of Russia for their support throughout the war.
Russian President Vladimir Putin (Front L) speaks to the Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi (C) and Chinese President Xi Jinping on September 1, 2025 during the SCO summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO).
Alexander Kazakov | AFP | Getty pictures
“We appreciate the efforts and suggestions to solve the Ukrainian crisis of China, India and other strategic partners from us. The mutual understanding that was recently reached on a Russia-US summit in Alaska leads the same direction, I hope that it paves the way to peace in Ukraine, I hope.”
Summit like the SCO created a new political and socio-economic ecosystem that was able to replace the “outdated” euro-atlantic performance model, said Putin.
This new system “would take into account the interests of a maximum number of countries and really be balanced”, which “a system in which a group of countries would not ensure their security at the expense of others”.
Comments are closed.