Guest contribution by Willis Eschenbach
Encouraged by the reception of my previous contribution “Eight ten thousandths“From warm acceptance to amused contempt to complete hostility, I have expanded my research to analyze the CO2 emissions of the late Great State of California.
In my article linked above, I found that if the IPCC is correct (which is a big “if”), there is global warming of 0.0008 ° C for every gigaton (GT). Please read this post for the detailed calculations.
And uses this relationship here and projected future California CO2 emissions.
Figure 1. California Historical and projected emissions and the avoided warming we receive from the drop in emissions.
WOW! With all of our victims here in California, we could have the world cooled by 0.006 ° C in twenty years. Be silent, my beating heart …
Well, how much the costs and the costs have, the numbers are difficult to get. Here are some important costs:
• The Californian solar band is estimated to increase the costs for newly built single -family houses by around $ 8,400 each. In California, ~ 60,000 new single -family houses are built every year. That is about half a billion dollars a year for the next 20 years to 2045 or a total of $ 10 billion.
• The solar subsidies “Renewable Mandates” and DACHER currently have the current electricity in California by $ 0.15 per kWh more expensive than its neighbors. The average since 2004 has been around $ 0.10 per kWh more expensive. The annual electricity consumption in California in 2023 was around 287,220,000,000 kWh. This corresponds to the cost of $ 35 billion a year $ 20 (2025-2045), which is $ 700 billion and $ 29 billion $ 20 (2004-2024). And that is with the completely unrealistic assumption without an increase in consumption or electricity costs.
But hey, the “green” friends of the governor get rich … but I wander off …
• Since the beginning of the California “Cap and Trade” program, it has achieved total sales of 5 billion US dollars. The current costs of these climate disclosures are around 35 US dollars per ton. For example, if half of the upcoming emissions are due, this is due to the upper limit and the trading system, which is another 110 billion US dollars.
• The Californian ban on gas -powered devices in new single -family houses comes into force in 2030. It is estimated that the price for new houses is increased by $ 24,000. Sixty thousand new houses per year, sometimes $ 24,000 per house, times fifteen years 2030-2045 offer a total cost of $ 22 billion.
That is about $ 1.5 trillion, and it does not count the costs for other California CO2 laws and regulations. The increase in electricity requirements by electric houses and electric cars alone will be another enormous costs. One and a half trillion hard-earned taxpayers' dollars … and all of this to reduce the temperature in 2045 by six thousandth. C.
Seriously. 0.006 ° C.
Meaningless. Unshakably small. Lost in the sound.
And please do not say that if everyone did it, everything would be wonderful. With the cost of $ 1.5 terabucks for a reduction of 0.006 ° C, it would cost us more than $ 250 trillion to possibly reduce the temperature of 2045 by one degree … madness.
Hopefully this madness will let go, but I'm afraid that California will be the last to get the memo …
Best for all
w.
PS – Most people have no idea how big a trillion is.
Suppose we had trillion dollars and from today to wasted one million dollars a day in the climate. In this case, we would waste the last million around October 30th of the year 4762AD. We certainly have better things to spend one million dollars a day for the next 27 centuries. For this amount we were able to transform the world into paradise …
PPS – If you comment, please quote the exact words to refer to. Avoid many misunderstandings.
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