From the climateREALISM
From left -wing von Linkeen
A recently carried out Axios story “how climate change affects central -ohio” indicates that Central Ohio has different effects due to climate change, e.g. At best, these claims are misleading and in most cases simply wrong. Suggestions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, as planned by Columbus, the “climate protection plan” of Ohios, will restrict freedom and the economy will cost, while they have little or no advantageous effects on regional or global climate.
Axios reported that the mayor of Columbus, the mayor of Ohio, Andrew Ginther, is very concerned about climate change, to the point that he worked as Vice President of the US Mayor Conference, but headed a delegation of the UN Conference of the UN climate change COP28 in Dubai.
Columbus has a “climate protection plan” that “requires a reduction in greenhouse gases by 45% by 2030 and the complete carbon neutrality by 2050”.
Ginther insisted on Axios that climate change is “real” and Columbus was injured. Axios reports that Central Ohio has had different effects from climate change. This includes:
- Warmer seasons, with Axios said in 2024 the “hottest year per record” for Columbus;
- Longer allergy seasons “lead to tougher health effects”;
- Longer “first -class forest fire conditions every year”;
- Longer mosquito season;
- “About 98% of the Columbus slowly sink into the ground, probably due to water consumption.”
- The intensity of precipitation has increased together with floods.
None of Axios’ claims is based on solid facts or at least the cause of the problems is incorrectly assigned to global climate change, and the evidence that exist undermines the need for a ginther climate protection plan.
Average temperature measurements have been around 1.5 ° C for Ohio since 1900, but this is not caused by an increase in the “very hot” days or even caused by an increase in the “very hot” days. Data from the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) show that extreme or dangerous warmth has actually been pressed down since the height of the 1930s. (See illustration below)
Figure 1: Diagram of NOAA NCEI STATE SOCIALS: Ohio website, here: https://stattesummaries.ncics.org/chapter/oh/
The warming in late 19th and early 20th centuries in Ohio, as is most likely to be due to the natural reaction to the end of the small ice age.
What has gradually increased since the 1960s is the number of warm nights, accompanied by a slight decline in the number of very cold nights. This indicates that something other than greenhouse gas emissions drives the average warming. There is no reason in physics why increased greenhouse gas concentrations would result in selective or mainly warming at night.
A large part of this nightly warming, especially in cities such as Columbus, is probably due to the municipal Heat Island effect (UHI). Climate at a glance: Urban Heat Islands explains that many urban temperature stations are influenced by the heat trapping effect of hard surfaces such as concrete and asphalt, not to mention the expenditure of air conditioning systems and thousands of vehicles on the street. This effect grows with the population and urban spread. Previous places of climate management have shown that in recent decades in recent decades average temperatures in Phoenix, Houston, Boston and the United States have been recorded in general, due to a decline in low temperatures of the night due to the eagle owl.
With regard to allergy seasons, climate management has discussed how this problem is due to a longer vegetation period in articles here, here and here. More pollen production aggravate allergies. However, the extended vegetation period and the increased pollen are a blessing for plant life and pollinating insects. It leads to more food production and general green of the earth. This means that the suffering, the seasonal allergies, is compensated for by more wildlife habitat and less hunger and malnutrition. This is certainly worth a few additional days or weeks if you take antihistamines.
Waldbrand weather usually includes strong winds and dry conditions. The drought in Ohio has not increased the frequency or intensity, and the amount of areas that have been lost to forest fires, and the number of fires shows no continuing trend that has been due to long -term climate change since the start of the recordings in 2006.
Figure 2: Ohio-Waldbranden, Acres burned and the number of fires per year since 2006. Data from the annual reports of the National Interagency Fire Center: https://www.nifc.gov/nicc/predictive-services/intelligence
With regard to the mosquito season, the Entomology again shows that the mosquito prevalence is more complicated than being driven by the temperature. In fact, diseases that transport mosquitoes became endemic in Ohio before the greatest swamps for the development and oppression efforts were set up in the 1950s to 1970s, including the widespread use of DDT. Since climate area here and here, for example trade, transport, change in development and landscape trends as well as reduced or less effective mosquito control efforts have led to a slight increase in the mosquito diseases led by mosquitoes, although the cases are still much less than the end of the 19th century until the middle of the 20th century.
The Landsenkernkern problem mentioned by Axios is not even a climate problem. It is referred to as a subsidency and is a result of the excess of the groundwater, which makes it a topic of civil engineering that the climate level was discussed beforehand, but is not discussed here.
The last climate influence that Axios lists is an increase in intensive precipitation and associated floods.
The NCEI data of the national ocean and atmosphere show that the precipitation has increased slightly in Ohio in recent decades, and the 2-inch “extreme” precipitation since the 1960s has been slightly increased, but this is not correlated with more extreme floods. The worst flood in the Scioto River in Columbus Ohio occurred in 1959 according to the existing rivergage data, but poorer flood was given in 1913. Specific “flash” flogging data is more difficult to become, but in general the intergovernmental body for climate change has only “low trust” that the flood change was attributed to an increase in flood changes.
In short, the available data give Mayor Ginther’s claims about climate change, the central -Hio or the state in general. Weather and harmful weather-related events such as forest fires and floods have not deteriorated in the recent times of modest warming, the measurement of which is likely to be a global warming due to local UHI effects.
The promise of a single city to become a “CO2 NENGRAL” will have no influence on global warming, but it could restrict the freedoms of people and undermine the economic assets of the surrounding region. If Columbus wants to see less intense heat and less warm nights, the city should examine things that reduce the heating of hard surfaces. These techniques usually include planting more trees on the streets and other ways to shade concrete and asphalt for more day. And in response to land sinking and mosquitoes, it could implement better water consumption guidelines and improved pest control, which could possibly include announcements from the public service that could exhort the residents of reducing the standing water.
Axios would better serve its readers by checking the facts before publishing false, alarming climate claims. Legitimate journalistic companies have done this historically.
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